{"id":1073,"date":"2023-06-01T01:51:43","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T16:51:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/?p=1073"},"modified":"2023-06-03T14:32:10","modified_gmt":"2023-06-03T05:32:10","slug":"game-theory-2-chap06-rationalizability","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/2023\/06\/game-theory-2-chap06-rationalizability\/","title":{"rendered":"Game Theory 2 \u2013 chap06. Rationalizability"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>2. Normal-form games<br>2.3 Best Response and Rationalizability (Chapter 6 &amp; 7)<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Response<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Question: What is the <em>tightest<\/em> prediction that we can make on the basis of rationality?<br>Answer: Rational players not only avoid dominated strategies but also avoid strategies that are <strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-8-color\">never a best response<\/mark><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Applying this idea iteratively, we obtain the set of <em>rationalizable<\/em> strategies<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:var(--global-color-10)\" class=\"has-inline-color\">DEFINITION 2.7<\/mark>. Suppose player i has a belief \\(\\theta_{i} \\in \\Delta S_{j}\\) about player j&#8217;s behavior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strategy \\(s_{i}\\) is a <strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-8-color\">best response<\/mark><\/strong> to belief \\(\\theta_{i}\\) if<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{i}(s_{i}, \\theta_{i})\\) \u2265 \\(u_{i}(s_{i}^{\\prime}, \\theta_{i})\\) for every \\(s_{i}^{\\prime}\\ \\in S_{i}\\).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>For any belief \\(\\theta_{i}\\) of player i, we denote by \\(BR_{i}(\\theta_{i})\\) the set of best responses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Observe that the set of best response is a function of the player&#8217;s belief<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>EXAMPLE 2.12. Suppose player 1 forms a belief \\(\\theta_{1}\\) = (1\/3, 1\/2, 1\/6) on player 2&#8217;s behavior in the following game:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>1 \\ 2<\/td><td>L<\/td><td>C<\/td><td>R<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>U<\/td><td>2, 6<\/td><td>0, 4<\/td><td>4, 4<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M<\/td><td>3, 3<\/td><td>0, 0<\/td><td>1, 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D<\/td><td>1, 1<\/td><td>3, 5<\/td><td>2, 3<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>Under the belief \\(\\theta_{1}\\), player 1&#8217;s expected payoff from each action is<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{1}(U, \\theta_{1})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(2 \\cdot \\frac{1}{3} + 0 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 4 \\cdot \\frac{1}{6} = \\frac{2}{3} + \\frac{2}{3} = \\frac{4}{3}\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{1}(M, \\theta_{1})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(3 \\cdot \\frac{1}{3} + 0 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 1 \\cdot \\frac{1}{6} = 1 \\cdot \\frac{1}{6} = \\frac{7}{6}\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{1}(D, \\theta_{1})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(1 \\cdot \\frac{1}{3} + 3 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 2 \\cdot \\frac{1}{6} = \\frac{1}{3} + \\frac{3}{2} + \\frac{1}{3} = \\frac{13}{6}\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Hence player 1&#8217;s set of best responses is \\(BR_{1}(\\theta_{1})\\) = {D}<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Given \\(\\theta_{2}\\) = (1\/2, 1\/4, 1\/4), what is player 2&#8217;s best response?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{2}(L, \\theta_{2})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(6 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 3 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} + 1 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} = 3 + 1 = 4\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{2}(C, \\theta_{2})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(4 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 0 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} + 5 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} = 2 + \\frac{5}{4} = \\frac{13}{4}\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(u_{2}(R, \\theta_{2})\\) = <mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(4 \\cdot \\frac{1}{2} + 5 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} + 3 \\cdot \\frac{1}{4} = \\frac{8+5+3}{4} = \\frac{16}{4} = 4\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Best Responses and Beliefs<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Observe that a player&#8217;s set of best responses relies upon the player&#8217;s beliefs<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Playing a best response is not in itself a strategic act<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>It is <strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-8-color\">formation of beliefs<\/mark><\/strong> that captures the important strategic component in games<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Success in games often hinges on whether you understand your opponent better than he understands you: you need &#8220;outfox&#8221; him<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Thus the key question boils down to &#8220;What is a <em>reasonable<\/em> belief for your opponent&#8217;s behaviors?&#8221;<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>One possible answer is that you anticipate him to choose neither strictly dominated strategies nor never best responses<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Dominance and Best Response<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>There is a close relations between dominance and best response. To see this, let<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(B_{i}\\) = {\\(s_{i} \\in S_{i}\\) | there exists a belief \\(\\theta_{i}\\) such that \\(s_{i} \\in BR_{i}(\\theta_{i})\\)}<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(UD_{i}\\) = {\\(s_{i} \\in S_{i}\\) | \\(s_{i}\\) is not strictly dominated}.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td>1 \\ 2<\/td><td>L (p)<\/td><td>R (1-p)<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>U<\/td><td>6, 3<\/td><td>0, 1<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>M<\/td><td>2, 1<\/td><td>5, 0<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>D<\/td><td>3, 2<\/td><td>3, 1<\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">\\(u_{1}(U, p)\\) = 6p + 0(1-p) = 6p<br>\\(u_{1}(M, p)\\) = 2p + 5(1-p) = -3p + 5<br>\\(u_{1}(D, p)\\) = 3p + 3(1-p) = 3<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<pre class=\"wp-block-code\"><code>f(p) = 6p, f(p) = -3p+5, f(p) = 3, p=(0,1)\nx-axis: p, y-axis: u1<\/code><\/pre>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"533\" src=\"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1-1024x533.png\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1121\" srcset=\"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1-1024x533.png 1024w, https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1-300x156.png 300w, https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1-768x400.png 768w, https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1-1536x800.png 1536w, https:\/\/saraheee.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/image-1.png 1602w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">6p = 5 &#8211; 3p \u21d4 9p = 5 \u21d4 p = 5\/9<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">p > \\(\\frac{5}{9}\\) \u2192 \\(BR_{1}(p)\\) = {U}<br>p &lt; \\(\\frac{5}{9}\\) \u2192 \\(BR_{1}(p)\\) = {M}<br>p = \\(\\frac{5}{9}\\) \u2192 \\(BR_{1}(p)\\) = {U, M}<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>P1&#8217;s belief \\(\\theta_{1}\\) can be represented by a scalar variable p \u2208 [0, 1]<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Strategy D is never a best response to player 1 for all <em>p<\/em>. So <strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-8-color\">\\(B_{1}\\) = {U, M}<\/mark><\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>One can easily see that U and M are undominated. What about strategy D?<br>To examine if there is a mixed strategy strictly better than D, let \\(\\sigma_{1}\\) = (x, 1-x, 0)<br>and compute P1&#8217;s expected payoff from \\(\\sigma_{1}\\) given his belief <em>p<\/em>:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">xU + (1-x)M = \\(\\sigma_{1}\\)<br>\\(u_{1}(\\sigma_{1}, p)\\) = x \u2219 \\(u_{1}\\)(U, p) + (1-x)\\(u_{1}\\)(M, p)<br>= x \u2219 6p + (1-x)(5-3p)<br>= 5(1-x) &#8211; 3p + 9xp<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p id=\"block-f2f656f3-7d6a-4f21-9c22-cc209771ac54\"><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">When x = 1\/3, \\(u_{1}(\\sigma_{1}, p)\\) = 10\/3, which is greater than 3, the payoff of \\(u_{1}\\)(D, p)<br>so strategy D is strictly dominated by mixed strategies U and M.<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-15-color\">Strategies that are not dominated by player 1 \\(UD_{1}\\) = {U, M} = \\(B_{1}\\)<\/mark><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rationalizability**<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Observe that if a strategy is strictly dominated, then it is never a best response:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\\(B_{i} \\subseteq UD_{i}\\) for all i<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The converse is not true in general, but it turns out that the converse is also true at least in 2-player games<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Therefore,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>strictly dominated \u21d4 never a best response in 2-player games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:var(--global-color-10)\" class=\"has-inline-color\">DEFINITION 2.8<\/mark>. <strong><mark style=\"background-color:rgba(0, 0, 0, 0)\" class=\"has-inline-color has-global-color-8-color\">Rationalizable strategies<\/mark><\/strong> are those that remain after we iteratively remove all strategy that are never a best response to allowable beliefs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><mark style=\"background-color:var(--global-color-10)\" class=\"has-inline-color\">THEOREM 2.9 (BERNHEIM (1984), PEARCE (1984))<\/mark>. In two-player games, a strategies is rationalizable if and only if it survives ISD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Rationalizability in 3-player games<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>In games with more than two-players,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>the set of rationalizable strategies \u2282 the set of strategies that survives ISD.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>To see this relation, consider the following example:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-table\"><table><tbody><tr><td><\/td><td>W<\/td><td>E<\/td><td><\/td><td>W<\/td><td>E<\/td><td><\/td><td>W<\/td><td>E<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>T<\/td><td>9, 9, 5<\/td><td>0, 8, 2<\/td><td>T<\/td><td>9, 9, 4<\/td><td>0, 8, 0<\/td><td>T<\/td><td>9, 9, 1<\/td><td>0, 8, 2<\/td><\/tr><tr><td>B<\/td><td>8, 0, 2<\/td><td>7, 7, 1<\/td><td>B<\/td><td>8, 0, 0<\/td><td>7, 7, 4<\/td><td>B<\/td><td>8, 0, 2<\/td><td>7, 7, 5<\/td><\/tr><tr><td><\/td><td>L<\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><td>C<\/td><td><\/td><td><\/td><td>R<\/td><td><\/td><\/tr><\/tbody><\/table><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>P3&#8217;s strategy C (the middle matrix) is <em>not<\/em> strictly dominated so survives ISD<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>On the other hand, C is never a best response to any beliefs \\(\\theta_{3}\\), implying that the strategy is not rationalizable<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Reference: Chang-Koo Chi, (6\/50) Game Theory and Applications 2 \u2013 Rationalizability, Jul 1, 2020,\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Xv21qzNkuXQ\" rel=\"noopener\">https:\/\/youtu.be\/Xv21qzNkuXQ<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Learn about rationalizability, a second way to predict in normal-form games. Examine the difference between 2-player and 3-player games in terms of ISD and BR.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[34,54,55,4,73,52,53],"class_list":["post-1073","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-game-theory-and-applications","tag-beliefs","tag-best-response","tag-dominance","tag-game-theory","tag-jun-3-2023","tag-may-29-2023","tag-rationalizability"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1073"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1073"}],"version-history":[{"count":38,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1073\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1237,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1073\/revisions\/1237"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1073"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1073"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/saraheee.com\/ko\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1073"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}